Looking at the fixtures, I think the most likely results would see us in 5th.
London - Fax - London win
Fev - London - London win
Fax - Toulouse - Fax win
Along with wins for top 6 against bottom 6. Leaves us missing out along with Featherstone. Though one reverse of those results should open things up for us.
As for Toronto against Fev, a lot made of Toronto wanting the throw the game. Can't see it happening. They don't have reserves or academy kids to bring in, so the team they put out should be good enough to beat a part time team that's flown out 48 hours before. There's also the fact that Leeds probably won't want to send out too many DR players at that stage. Also the small matter of them beating us 3 out of 3, don't think they'd be too worried about us.