roger daly wrote:
23 games = 46 points offer
Then split into the 8s, the bottom 8 which we were in last season, keep all their points. Then another 7 games so another 14 points on offer. So 60 points in total on offer overall, if we start on minus 12, the most we can get is 48
I think we can have our day in the sun again at the end of the season lifting the Championship Shield aloft
I like the optimism!
However, just looking at avoiding relegation the sums are quite straightforward. Going off last season, after the playoffs Whitehaven went down on 17 points, Oldham survived on 20. So the absolute minimum we'll probably need is 18, starting on -12, 30 points required from 30 games. 15 wins, I think that's a better way to look at it rather than the depressing minus points stuff.
Assuming we get better as the season goes on, we might be able to win 5 of the 7 playoff games (?), which would mean we have to win 10 of the regular season games as a minimum to give ourselves a decent shot at avoiding relegation - I can see the current squad being able to have a good go at that with a few shrewd loan acquisitions in the forwards.
But, no two ways about it, its going to be tough, really difficult, and I'd say avoiding relegation in 2017 would be just as big an achievement as getting promotion from our current position.
This of course is all on the assumption that we;
a) Get an owner sorted this week (without a decent buyer this whole thread is moot)
b) Have some cash
c) Start the season
d) Re-sign the vast majority of the current ex squad available (which has to include Moss, Pryce, Chisholm and Kavanagh)
e) The RFL don't move the goalposts
