I’ve given my reason for starting with Philbin as rear prop/13, coz there’s no one on the currently in the squad better to allow us the luxury of bringing him for impact off the bench.
As much as I’m against the grain of you all, we have to pick the best team possible, playing Jace or Ellis reduces pack weight and adds no more mobility options. Don’t play the percentages unless you know we are bigger than the opposition with Philbin on the bench.