The way Spain have ridden their luck so far since the Switzerland defeat makes me think they are nailed-on to win it now...freak opening goal against Chile having been outplayed, Chile player very harshly sent off in the scoring of the 2nd goal, goal against Portugal going in off the bar, Paraguay penno saved when 4 Spanish players were encroaching, winning goal against Paraguay going in off both posts having rebounded perfetly into Villa's path in the first place...having said that they have been the better team in all their games without reaching the high spots we know they are capable of, and they have only conceded 2 goals - 1 the jammy goal against Switzerland and the other a major deflection against Chile so I certainly wouldn't back against them beating Germany.