Re: Betting Chat : Sun Nov 13, 2011 8:09 am  

WIZEB wrote:

Had to back Spain off the boards at 10/11.

That well and truly undid all the previous weeks hard work.

Re: Betting Chat : Sun Nov 13, 2011 11:07 am  

13/2 Treble

Big Zeb
Woolcombe Folly
Fingal Bay

Single on Fingal Bay @ 5/4

Fingers crossed for A Media Luz @ 16/1 in the Greatwood now 9/1

Re: Betting Chat : Sun Nov 13, 2011 12:14 pm  

Win lay of Al Ferof in the 1st at Cheltenham at odds on.. Up against a few lto winners who've already got chasing experience, ducked a match against Peddlers Cross earlier in the week, and I'm struggling to think of a horse that made and won it's chasing debut in a graded race. ( No doubt someone will think of at least 1 )

Well Regarded..50/1 e/w 1/4 odds at ladbrokes.

Will be better suited by stepping back up in distance, from a stable and jockey that has been knocking in plenty of winners over the past few weeks, and will love the ground. Only concern would be the course, possibly better on a flatter track, and is my 1st long term Aintree horse, namely, the 3m Sefton Novices Hurdle on the friday.

Re: Betting Chat : Sun Nov 13, 2011 12:18 pm  

2.55 Cheltenham 50/1 EW Lion On The Prowl

Poke on this at the huge price, its only been out of the places once in 9 races which was last time out in a Grade 3 race where its probs needed the run went okay until 4 out made mistake and was eased home, should of really won a Class 3 handicap at Aintree the mistake at the 2nd last cost it along with the winner under a never say die McCoy ride, that was over 3 miles so should be fine round here over 2 and half plus with the claim its 1lb lower then that run.

Re: Betting Chat : Mon Nov 14, 2011 10:17 am  

Hobbs horse saved me yesterday looks a good bet for March monster of a animal

2.00 Plumpton - Capisci 20/1 EW and 9/2 Place

Catched the eye looking at the cards seeing that it had been rode recently by Ruby Walsh while with Willie Mullins, clearly things have not gone to plan which has bought on its sale and change of yards but it was a decent bumper winner in Ireland on good ground and its last two poor runs were on soft (todays is Good to Soft) and reading through the comment on Mullins site it needs ground ground, am taking a chance at the decent odds.

Sept 13th

Capisci (Ruby) makes his hurdling debut in the 2 mile maiden hurdle. He is a big hurdling type who jumps well and this track should suit. However, we are a little concerned about the ground as he would prefer it drier.

Oct 2nd

We have two runners in the bumper. Capisci (D Lavery) was disappointing in bad ground over hurdles at Listowel but he is really a top of the ground horse, having won his bumper on good ground at Kilbeggan.

Re: Betting Chat : Mon Nov 14, 2011 1:42 pm  

just watched NOTUS DE LA TOUR win again over the fences, pipe said before the season got under way this one was the one to watch for the season.... cant have won any better jumpes every fence... def one to be following in the bigger races coming up, id get some cash on now if i knew which race he would be in for cheltenham.

Re: Betting Chat : Mon Nov 14, 2011 2:08 pm  

That went well

Blazing Buck @ 15/8 in the next at Leicester then thats it.

Decent bet again on Long Run/The Fly @ 2/1 for the weekend

Re: Betting Chat : Mon Nov 14, 2011 5:07 pm  

good one with blazing buck!

i only had one bet today on that of pipes... fancied frequency which went and won again

im not a long run fan! dont like the jockey and still not happy with its jumping (but being a big kauto fan im biased!)

Re: Betting Chat : Tue Nov 15, 2011 5:00 pm  

BETFAIR CHASE;

Nacarat...33/1
Weird Al....7/1
Kauto Star...place lay at 2/1- 5/2...on the day.

Firstly, I expect Long Run to win, but playing odds on is not for me, so at the prices, these are my bets. Can't see Time For Rupert trying to employ front running tactics again, which would leave Nacarat as the only grade 1 front runner in the field. Would have been each way if 8 had stood their ground, but still worth a dabble at the prices. Quite simply he has to dictate or be close up with the pace, if not, he sulks. Should come on for his Wetherby run, but a nagging doubt says a course with a short run-in suits him best. Whereas, Weird Al has more in his favour, namely, a course with a long run-in and a small field. Pace should be fast enough to enable Timmy Murphy to swithch him off and plod around the back for 2m.

Now for the main bet. Place laying Kauto Star. Quite simply, he should have been retired last season. It's a shame and embarressing for any passed-it athlete to be still competing at the highest level, when it's blatently obvious that they are not upto that standard. His run in last years Cheltenham Gold Cup was disappointing, his next at Punchestown was horrendous. Has frequently made jumping mistakes throughout his career, and getting older and slower, these will only get worse. He is now 11, it will be his 29th chase run and 7th year of chasing. To emphasise the importance of age in grade 1 races, since Desert Orchid in 1990, I could only find 3 other grade 1 chase winners in this country. Edredon Bleu 2003 King George, Katabatic ( got a soft lead in heavy ground Melling Chase 1994, and Moscow Flyer 2005 Melling Chase. He has age stats, number of runs, and some very decent opposition against him, to make him a place lay.

I would not be surprised to se him fall or be pulled up, and promptly retired. Master Minded also looks lay material at Ascot.

Re: Betting Chat : Wed Nov 16, 2011 10:05 am  

Wire_85 wrote: Decent bet again on Long Run/The Fly @ 2/1 for the weekend Hurricane taken out of the Morgiana.

Wire_85 wrote: Decent bet again on Long Run/The Fly @ 2/1 for the weekend Hurricane taken out of the Morgiana.