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Re: Betting Chat : Fri Nov 19, 2010 3:38 pm  
....and another 100/1 shot goes in today

dico :lol:
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Re: Betting Chat : Fri Nov 19, 2010 4:24 pm  
Dan_FC wrote:
True, we've probably all been there (not 100/1 shot but missing out on a good bet due to funds being tight). As Barry Hills said the bigger the odds the more you should bet :wink:


Me quite a bit lately. Saturdays and odd Sundays have been the only day I have been having a look. Weekdays I've been skipping the racecards and just reading the news.

Got too much expense in these coming months to be recklessly backing too many horses that have to negociate obstacles :wink:. Although they are significantly more reliable than the rubbish that runs on the AW during the winter.

Its taking me a bit of getting into the national hunt again this year. Working all weekend this weekend and not bothered. During the flat I would make sure I was away from work in plenty of time to get my bets on for the Saturday afternoons racing. Tomorrow there are plenty of good horses running and my attitude has been, 'if I get home in time - wonderful. If not, it'll be sky+'d'.

Surely Imperial Commander and Zaynar need to be winning their races. At his best, Master Minded is a class above all of those. Back from a breathing op and over the furthest he has been since finishing 2nd to Voy Por Ustedes at Aintree a few years ago, he was probably over the top by that point. Popular treble, certainly.
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Re: Betting Chat : Fri Nov 19, 2010 4:27 pm  
brearley84 wrote:
....and another 100/1 shot goes in today

dico :lol:


On the other hand, 5 favourites went in at Ascot and the other winner was also prominent in the betting.
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Re: Betting Chat : Fri Nov 19, 2010 6:55 pm  
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Re: Betting Chat : Fri Nov 19, 2010 10:42 pm  
Off to Haydock tomorrow, anyone got any tips on who to look out for?
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Re: Betting Chat : Fri Nov 19, 2010 11:36 pm  
Emiliano Zapata wrote:
Off to Haydock tomorrow, anyone got any tips on who to look out for?


Could be a day for favs with Dunraven Storm and Clerks Choice think What A Friend and Nacarat might have something to say in the big one.

Grands Crus could take some stopping if coming out of last race well, Tasheba in the same race looks a nice E/W bet.

Only one bet for me so far which I put on in the week Restless Harry 20/1 E/W at Ascot.
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Re: Betting Chat : Fri Nov 19, 2010 11:53 pm  
Clerks Choice looked very impressive LTO, won with a lot in hand against two highly thought of opponents - Barizan already had good form in the book.

If he was trained by a certain Ditcheat or Seven Barrows handler he would not be 25/1 for the Champion Hurdle.
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Re: Betting Chat : Sat Nov 20, 2010 12:01 am  
andym1988 wrote:
If he was trained by a certain Ditcheat or Seven Barrows handler he would not be 25/1 for the Champion Hurdle.


33/1 with Paddy Power. It's exactly what Michael Banks said before his last outing but I'm not sure he's proved so far he's a genuine champion contender.
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Re: Betting Chat : Sat Nov 20, 2010 9:34 am  
Have a good bet on Herdsman for Hobbs/Hemmings/Johnson in the finale.

Peddler's Cross won the race for McCain 2009 but the previous year the Herdsman connections landed a nice touch with the potentially top class Dare Me (unbeaten over hurdles in 2010) the previous year.

According To Pete (14:50 Haydock) is worth a bet too each-way. He won this race in 2008 and it's one of the few big handicaps run over the Fixed Brush Hurdles that seem to suit chasers down to the ground. He's back down to the same mark (132) as when successful that day. He's been out of form since but was beaten less than 5 lengths at Bangor in March off 135 behind the useful Mith Hill and whilst his seasonal re-appearance in a Wetherby's listed handicap chase wasn't amazing his trainer (Malcolm Jefferson) is in much better form now (2 from 21 in October - one of those was 4/7) whilst he's (6 from 24 so far in November). The yard has a 17% strike rate at the track and at 23/1 to win on Betfair and 20/1 each-way with the books he looks well worth a 2 points win 1 point place bet :D
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Re: Betting Chat : Sat Nov 20, 2010 11:00 am  
Haydock 1.15 Pret A Thou 9/1 E/W

Backed it when it won over hurdles last time out to get ready for this, went really well over fences last season winning 5 times.

Ascot 2.35 Restless Harry 20/1 E/W

Backed this in the week because I thought it was a nice E/W bet, very good novice last season needs to have improved alot to win though but trainer has been positive about him.

Ascot 3.10 Tatenen 10/1 E/W

With new yard ran ok on first run, dropped back to 2 miles which is the distance it impressed at as a novice winning twice, went off fav in the Arkle only to fall and then came 2nd at Aintree next time out, Nicholls was certain it wanted 3 miles so will be interesting to see how it gets on, needs to have improved jumping but anything like its run to 151 this time last year off 6lbs higher would give it a chance.


Doubles and 62/1 acca for the favs

Dunraven Storm @ 4/6
Clerk's Choice @ 8/13
Grands Crus @ 13/8
Imperial Commander @ 10/11
Master Minded @ 1/1
Charminster @ 11/8
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