Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 12:44 pm  

I wouldn't be prioritising the cup game over the league game, just focus on keeping this run going, momentum in rugby is a fickle thing and I'd like to see it stay with us for as long as possible!

[PopTart]

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 1:00 pm  

It's also to do with the bets. If someone places a lot of money on Leeds the odds will swing to show them as favourites to make sure the bookies don't lose.
If they are so low I assume we are high?

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:02 pm  

How can too joint 3rd teams (points difference not withstanding) be anything other than even money. Sometimes odds baffle me unless is based on historical outcomes which shouldn't be considered when its a different season and certainly a very new look Trinity

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:19 pm  

Yosemite Sam wrote:

How can too joint 3rd teams (points difference not withstanding) be anything other than even money. Sometimes odds baffle me unless is based on historical outcomes which shouldn't be considered when its a different season and certainly a very new look Trinity

IF someone has already lumped on Leeds to win, the bookies will improve the odds on Trinity to try and "balance their books (less their "margin").
The same would apply if they take big money on Wakefield.

If both clubs field their strongest available teams, it looks like a decent bet for anyone having a punt on Trin bu, we'll have to wait and see what Chester (and Mcdermott) do with their team selections.

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:45 pm  

The Cup angle is a valid one...I still think it's not much more than a 50/50 though and if anything I'd have thought we'd be slight favourites...home advantage...a stronger 17 that has just gone and turned over the 2nd place team on their own patch and on a 7 match winning run...I also think there will be added motivation amongst the group with how we performed at Headingley...

It's an interesting argument as to which is the more important game, this or Salford on Thursday...I'd go with this one...

There's a fair chance there will be quite a few 'part time' fans turn out for this...despite being not as good these days Leeds are still a major draw, and scalp...if we play like we have been and beat Leeds it could do wonders for the remaining 3 home games in the regular season...all three attractive names and all potential decent crowds if we keep the momentum up...plus we would be going to Salford off the back of 8 straight wins...

Strongest available 17 and all out for the win for me!

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:47 pm  

Your biggest match is always your next one.

[PopTart]

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:48 pm  

On paper losing Miller is a big loss to us.

[Wildthing]

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 4:49 pm  

We are +4 with Bet365.
Fine by me, we seem to thrive on the underdogs tag.

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 7:45 pm  

+4 ain't much, that's virtually evens, which on the face of it seems a little generous to Leeds

I'd say evens is a fair guestimate for the casual follower of RL, but as already mentioned, odds calculations aren't based on anything tangible, its a simple reaction/response to betting patterns.

If the game really is just a few points one way or the other, this is a game we ought to expect to win on the back of home advantage, though it doesn't always go like that.
I'm not sure how much influence team selection will have from Wakey's perspective, unless Chester puts in 6 kids.
If we can't beat Leeds with a similar team to last week, I don't think we would beat them with all the 1st choices, all the players seem to be stepping up no matter what.

Personally, I'd back us at sheddingly too, based on the current performance of both teams.

I think the real unknown here for a change, is Leeds, we know what Wakey are gonna do

Re: Leeds 4/9.... : Tue Jun 06, 2017 8:17 pm  

I don't understand odds... and to be honest I don't want to

As a team sitting equal third in the league and one that looks genuine semi final contenders ... super league not challenge cup... I would be looking to put Leeds away on Saturday and taking their place i a clear third in the league... that said... they and Cas are the only teams to easily get past us so far this season...

I'm glad we have the coaching team that we do... do I don't have to worry about selection each week!