Trojan Horse wrote:
Over the years I’ve found the forecast to be unreliable and even change up to a couple of hours before the time states.
I just look out the window these days.
your right weather forecasting using the beeb is pathetic, stated it was going to rain from 2pm to 5.00 am in the morning and not one drop has come as yet and was in the 40 % bkt which now is low 30s, I'm same as you just look to the clouds and more or less can work it out, around kick off time its in the high 50's which means a 50/50 chance of rain I'd say take a coat and hat
data off their website explaining it
What does % chance of precipitation (rain, snow, hail, etc) mean?
Our data supplier, MeteoGroup, uses the probability of precipitation (% chance), and this ranges from 0% (no chance at all) to 100% (it will be wet).
So what does a 20% chance of rain actually mean? It means that out of 100 situations with similar weather, it should rain on 20 of those, and not rain on 80. In a nutshell, it means that, whilst you may get some rain, it's much more likely (but not certain) to stay dry.