League One Play-Offs 2021 : Mon Aug 30, 2021 3:00 pm
This is how I believe the 2021 play-offs in League One look:The top team in League One is automatically promoted with teams two to six playing off for the other promotion spot.
The play-offs will start on the weekend of 17th September. The games are being shown on Our League.
Week One: Elimination Final (EF): Team Five v Team Six (the loser plays no further part)
Week One: Qualifying Final (QF): Team Three v Team Four (neither side is eliminated)
Team Two goes through to Week Two without playing.
Week Two: First Semi-Final: Loser of QF v Winner of EF (loser eliminated, winner plays in Week Three)
Week Two: Second Semi-Final: Team Two v Winner of QF (winner at home in the final, loser plays in Week Three)
Week Three: Preliminary Final (PF): Loser of Second Semi-Final v Winner of First Semi-Final (loser eliminated)
Week Four: Winner of Second Semi-Final v Winner of PF
The first named team has home advantage in each of the fixtures. The team finishing second can win the play-offs in two matches, both of which would be at home. If they lose their first game, they wouldn't be at home should they reach the final.
If we can finish third, we'd be at home in Week One; finishing fourth would mean we'd be away. The loser gets another chance. Finishing fifth or sixth gives a tough route through the rounds.
No team seems to have any cancelled games re-arranged so it appears there are just two rounds left to play. This is how it stands on Monday 30th August with possible points percentages listed based on whether teams win two, one or no games:
Barrow: 76.67% Two Wins 79.41, One Win 73.53, No Wins 67.64
Workington: 73.08%, Two Wins 73.08, One Win 70.00, No Wins 63.33
N Wales: 66.67%, Two Wins 70.50, One Win 64.71, No Wins 58.82
Dons: 63.33%, Two Wins 67.64, One Win 61.76, No Wins 55.88
Keighley: 59.38%, Two Wins 63.88, One Win, 58.33, No Wins 52.77
Hunslet: 53.13%, Two Wins 58.33, One Win 52.77, No Wins 44.73
Rochdale: 50.00%, Two Wins 55.88, One Win 50.00, No Wins 44.11
Remaining Games:
Barrow: Rochdale (A), West Wales (H)
Workington: Skolars (A), Hunslet (H)
N Wales: Keighley (A), Skolars (H)
Dons: Coventry (H), Keighley (H)
Keighley: N Wales (H), Dons (A)
Rochdale: Barrow (H), Coventry (H)
Hunslet: West Wales (H), Workington (A)
Theoretically, the Dons could be tied for top with Barrow if we win our last two and Barrow lose both but they've got W Wales at home in their last match! If Workington win against either Skolars (A) or Hunslet (H), we can can't catch them.
We appear to be in a battle for third, fourth, and fifth with N Wales and Keighley.
If Keighley beat N Wales next weekend, two Dons' wins would mean we'd finish third, although this would also mean we'd have to beat Keighley in the last match to stay above them. If N Wales beat Keighley, a win for us against Coventry would mean Keighley couldn't catch us, so we couldn't finish lower than fourth.
I will update these details after the next round of games.
