Rammo's Betting Tips : Thu Aug 08, 2013 7:58 pm
This week I have done a lot of research into two different fixtures.St Helens v London Broncos.
I am expecting St Helens to be more or less unchanged from the weekend and have been following them closely on TV and the Radio in recent games.
St Helens: Lomax, Makinson, Turner, Meli, Swift, Wilkin, Hohaia, Puletua, Howarth, Laffranchi, Jones, Manu, McCarthy-Scarsbrook.
Interchange: Wellens, Walmsley, Richards, Walker
They built a good lead early on against Catalans with O'Brien involved but went a long time without scoring after he went off and I feel the second half flattered them - Catalans threw the ball into touch at least three times and had Maria sinbinned twice, so they had 12 in the line for about twenty minutes.
Saints were very brave and resilient but they have had two very hard games against tough forwards and I doubt they can back up with the same intensity yet again.
If you look over the season their highest points total is 52 whilst they have conceded double figures in 20 out of 22 games.
London by comparison have been scoring 2 or 3 tries in most games and have not lost away all season by 40 points, reserving their worst form for the soulless Stoop and borrowed grounds.
The side I expect to see tomorrow looks pretty strong in the forwards and not bad in the backs.
London Broncos: Macani or Hurst, Colbon , Sarginson, Howell, Melling, Woodburn-Hall or Bishay, Soward, Cook, Lee, Bryant, Kaufusi, Rodney, McMeeken.
Interchange: Dollapi, Fisher, Krasniqi, Wicks
So my first tip is to take London at the +34 if you are doing a single or if you are following my line of thinking take the +40 at 1/2 on with Ladbrokes. (Handicap Betting 4)
I think our odds are so far out because we had less than 25% ball possession and retention v Wigan and people think we may fold. Actually we fold against Wigan and Warrington but not often the rest of the time.
My second tip is Salford City Reds v Leeds Rhinos again with Handicap betting 4 (-12 over the game)
Salford have four Props but only Jewitt is decent. The other three of Emmitt, A Walne and Neal wouldn't get a run out at the Broncos. More importantly they don't have a senior Hooker in the squad. So the front row is a shocking one and the backs look to be light in quality also.
Salford: Gaskell, D. Williams, Gibson, McGoldrick, Evalds, Sneyd, Fages, Jewitt, Owen, Emmitt, Davies, Dixon, Wild.
Interchange: A. Walne , J.Walne, Neal, Hope
They can sometimes run teams closer than you'd think at their home ground, but if you can put a couple of tries on them it shouldn't be difficult to hammer them as a lot of teams have done this year.
Leeds Rhinos: Hardaker; Jones-Bishop, Watkins, Keinhorst, Hall; Sutcliffe, Burrow; Leuluai, McShane, Peacock, Clarkson, Ablett, Sinfield
Interchange: Foster, Moore, Bailey, Kirke
This Leeds team is not the best I have ever seen, but it should be able to win comfortably against Salford.
I have taken Leeds -12 at 2/5.
My thoughts are to roll the two together as a double and it pays about a tickle over Evens - about 1:1/1.
I have lumped on this double - I expect London to comfortably be within 40 points (I reckon about Saints 32-London 12 will be more like it) and for Leeds to be able to beat Salford by +20 (I think this one will be something like Salford 16-Leeds 44) so we have a bit of margin for error.
Good luck
Rammo